New Carroll Poll: 2018 New Mexico General Election

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The latest Carroll Poll, conducted on June 15 and 16, asked likely voters (those who voted in the last two general elections) who they will vote for in the November 2018 General Election. The sample size for this poll was 1199 registered voters. It was balanced by Congressional District, party affiliation, gender, and age. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

The results below are cumulative responses from a statewide sample. However, the responses from the U.S. Congressional races were taken from respondents within their respective districts.

Governor’s Race

  • Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham – 50.5%

  • Republican Steve Pearce – 42.1%

  • Libertarian Bob Walsh – 3.1%

  • Undecided – 4.3%

Secretary of State

  • Democrat Maggie Toulouse Oliver – 52%

  • Republican (Yet to be named) – 28.5%

  • Libertarian Sandra Jeff – 5.8%

  • Undecided – 13.7%

State Auditor

  • Democrat Brian Colón – 49.7%

  • Republican Wayne Johnson – 38.5%

  • Undecided – 11.8%

State Treasurer

  • Democrat Tim Eichenberg – 46.5%

  • Republican Arthur Castillo – 37.5%

  • Undecided – 15.9%

Attorney General

  • Democrat Hector Balderas – 54.9%

  • Republican Michael Hendricks – 33.4%

  • Libertarian A. Blair Dunn – 4.6%

  • Undecided – 7.2%

Issues that Voters Care About Most

  • Immigration – 22.4%

  • Crime – 29.9%

  • Jobs – 13.5%

  • Protecting the environment – 11.0%

  • Education – 23.3%

U.S. Senate

  • Democrat Martin Heinrich – 49.8%

  • Republican Mick Rich – 39.3%

  • Libertarian Aubrey Dunn – 5.3%

  • Undecided – 5.7%

 Congressional District 1

  • Democrat Debra Haaland – 47%

  • Republican Janice Arnold Jones – 42.7%

  • Libertarian Lloyd Princeton – 3.6%

  • Undecided – 6.7%

Congressional District 2

  • Democrat Xochitl Torres Small – 34.7%

  • Republican Yvette Herrell – 48.5%

  • Undecided – 16.8%

Congressional District 3

  • Democrat Ben Ray Lujan – 58.1%

  • Republican Jerald Steve McFall – 30%

  • Libertarian Christopher Manning – 4.7%

  • Undecided – 7.2%

Commissioner of Public Lands

  • Democrat Stephanie Garcia Richard – 44.1%

  • Republican Pat Lyons – 41.4%

  • Libertarian Michael Lucero – 5.1%

  • Undecided – 9.4%

 

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pollingTom CarrollPolling, Poll, New Mexico, General Election, Political Poll